Pronóstico del viento en el Mar Caribe a partir de los modelos MM5 y UKMO
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.26640/22159045.115Keywords:
Model, UKMO, MM5, wind forecast, oceanographic cruisesAbstract
During the scientific project "Validation of the ocean circulation model applied to Search and Rescue operations", developed by the Centro de Investigaciones Oceanográficas e Hidrográficas (Colombian Navy) is necessary to check the accuracy of the input data.
The degree of confidence of the products of the UKMO forecast model (United Kingdom Meteorological Office) is studied through comparisons between the output fields of both, this model and MMS model, used in Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (IDEAM), as well as with the field observations available from two oceanographic cruises carried out during 2003 in the Caribbean Sea.
The analyzed parameter is the wind, being a main factor that affects the oil slick fate and floatable artifacts' motion at sea. The objective analysis error with respect to the short-term prediction, the absolute error of the wind forecast and what quantitative consequences this error may produce on the operative use of a forecast oceanographic system for the entire Caribbean are determined.
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References
López, L.A. (2002): Desarrollo e Implementación de Técnicas de Reducción de Escala para Ajustar a Condiciones Locales la Predicción de la Precipitación a partir de Modelos Numéricos Regionales. Tesis de Maestría, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Sede Bogotá.
Mellor, G.L. (1993): User's Guide for a Three-Dimensional Primitive Equation Numerical Ocean Model, Princeton, NJ, 35p.
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