Sea-level variability from 1950 to 2000 and hazards linked to storm surge episodes in Bocagrande and Castillogrande peninsulas, Cartagena de Indias, Colombia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.26640/22159045.186Keywords:
Meteorological tide, storm surges, mar de leva, floods, digital elevation model, Cartagena de IndiasAbstract
The risk of flood in Bocagrande and Castillogrande, two peninsulas of the city of Cartagena de Indias (southwest Caribbean Sea) were studied in several stages. A sea-level time series registered by a tide-gage inside the Bay of Cartagena was analyzed extracting the 'meteorological tide' based on the differences between the observed levels and the astronomical tide. These residuals were then analyzed looking for correlations with meteorological data at local, regional and basin-wide levels. This analysis permitted the characterization of the sea-level rise caused by storms in this part of the Colombian coast, giving explanation to the floods occurred between 1950 and 2000 caused by this storm surges called locally “mares de leva”. These recurrent events formed by the combination of the wind set-up and waves 'set-up' and 'run-up' produce floods of variable amplitude in the streets of Bocagrande and Castillogrande. A high- resolution digital terrain model constructed with a LIDAR data base (+/- 20 cm precision) served as topographic base for the construction of several scenarios related to the sea-level rise caused by storm surges and to the climatic sea-level rise for the 21st century. These scenarios showed the extreme vulnerability of Cartagena, particularly in Bocagrande and Castillogrande peninsulas and the necessity of intervention in the short-term taken into account its social and economic importance for Colombia.Downloads
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References
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[27] Ardhuin F, Magne R, Rascle N, Queffeulou P, Hamon M. Modélisation des vagues avec le code WAVEWATCH III: version 3.13-SHOM et Prévimer, aspects multi-échelles et multi-disciplinaires. Journée PCIM, 28 janvier 2008:14.
[28] Ullmann A, Pirazzoli P. Caractéristiques spatiales de la formation des surcotes marines dans le Golfe du Lion. Cybergeo: Revue européenne de géographie, 2007;362:12.
[29] Agudelo P, Restrepo AF, Molares R, Tejada CE, Torres R, Osorio AF. Determinación del clima de oleaje medio y extremal en el caribe colombiano, Boletín Científico CIOH 2006; (23): 33-45.85
[2] Curry J. Le réchauffement global et les ouragans: la Science, les controverses et les risques à venir en Amérique latine, Colloque les Ouragans de l'Atlantique Nord et le réchauffement climatique: l'exemple de la Caraibe,Georgia Institute of Technology, 2007:28.
[3] Dolique F, Jeanson M, Besson J. Amonitoring network for assessing the impact of extreme marine meteorological events on tropical beaches. J. Coast. Res. 2007; SI 50:77-81.
[4] Komar PD, Allan JC. Increasing hurricane-generated wave heights along the U.S. east coast and their climate controls. J. Coast. Res. 2008;24 (2).
[5] INVEMAR. The Netherlands Climate Changes Studies Assistance Program: Colombia. Definición de la vulnerabilidad de los sistemas bio-geofísicos y socioeconómicos debido a un cambio en el nivel del mar en la zona costera colombiana y medidas para su adaptación, Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras José Benito Vives de Andreis (INVEMAR), Santa Marta: 2003, 7 volúmenes.
[6] Sierra-Correa PC, Arias-Isaza FA, Alonso D, Andrade CA. Colombia: Country Experiences and Highlights Vulnerability Assessment on Sea Level Rise from Global Change Effects:, In: Netherlands Climate Change in developing countries, An overview of study results form the Netherlands Climate Change Studies Assistance Programme, Institute of Environmental Studies, 1, M.A. van Drunen, R. Lasage and C. Dorland (eds.) Amsterdam, 2005:32-40.
[7] Pirazzoli P. Surges, atmospheric pressure and wind change and flooding probability on the Atlantic coast of France. Oceanol. Acta. 2000;23(6):643-661.
[8] Stone G, Liu B, Jose F. Winter storms and tropical cyclone impacts on the short-term evolution of beaches and barriers along the north-eastern Gulf of Mexico. Coast. Sediments. 2007;1:1-16.
[9] Titus JG, Richman C. Maps of land vulnerable to sea level rise: modeled elevations along the US Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Clim. Res. 2001;18:205-228.
[10] Ullmann A, Moron V. Configurations atmosphériques de vastes échelles spatiales et variabilité des surcotes dans le Golfe du Lion. Cybergeo: Revue européenne de géographie. 2007;406:15.
[11] Anselme B, Durand P, Goeldner-Gianella L, Bertrand F. Impacts de l'élévation du niveau marin sur l'évolution future d'un marais maritime endigué. Le domaine de Graveyron, bassin d'Arcachon (France). Vertigo, la revue électronique des sciences de l'Environnement. 2008;8(1).
[12] Costa S, Cantat O, Pirazzoli P, Lemaître M, Gamas L, Delahaye D. Le risque de submersion de tempête en manche orientale, analyse Météo-marine sur la période historique récente. 2004:4.
[13] Durand P, Thomas Y-F, Benavides J, Ménanteau L, Andrade C, Gamero E. Evolution du trait de côte et vulnérabilité du littoral de Carthagène des Inde (Colombie) entre 1772 et 2004, Colloque, Interaction Nature-Société, analyse et modèles. UMR 6554 LETG. 2006:6 La Baule. France.
[14] INGEOMINAS. Amenazas Geológicas Potenciales y Aptitud Urbanística del casco Urbano de Cartagena. Cartagena. 1995.
[15] Vernette G, Lesueur P, Klingebiel A. Evolution morphologique et sedimentologique de la flèche de laguito (Baie de Carthagène, Colombie). Bulletin de l'Institut de Géologie du Bassin d'Aquitain. 1978; 23:127-145.
[16] Pagliardini J-L. Condition Hydrodynamiques et mécanismes Sédimentaires sur la plate forme cotière de Cartagena et le cordon littoral de la Boquilla. [Ph.D. Thesis]. Bordeaux. Université de Bordeaux 1, 1983:173.
[17] Molina A, Pelgrain A, Suzunaga J, Giraldo L. Comportamiento de la dinámica marina en el sector costero entre Galerazamba y Cartagena. Boletín Científico CIOH 1996;(17):73-78.
[18] Caldwell P. Sea Level Data Processing On IBM_PC Compatible Computers, Version 3-10, Year 2000 Compliant. Joint Archive for Sea Level of the National Oceanographic Data Center and University of Hawaii Sea Level Center Ed., JIMAR Contribution 1998;(80): 98-319.
[19] Foreman MG. Manual for Tidal Heights Analysis and Prediction. Pacific Marine Science Report 77-10. Institute of Ocean Sciences, Patricia Bay, Sidney, B. C. 1977;97.
[20] Embrechts P, Klüpelberg C, Mikosch T. Modelling extremal events. ed. Springer-Verlag, Applications of mathematics 33, New York. 1997.
[21] Coles S. An Introduction to Statistical Modelling of Extremes Values. ed. London, Springer 2001:208.
[22] Torres R, Gómez J-C, Afanador F. Variación del nivel medio del mar en el Caribe colombiano. Boletín Científico CIOH 2006; (24):64-72.
[23] Afanador F, Torres R, Gómez JC, Gutiérrez JC. LIDAR y fotografía aérea digital en la determinación del impacto del aumento en el nivel medio del mar en el sector de “La Boquilla”, Cartagena de Indias, Caribe Colombiano. Boletín Científico CIOH 2006;(24):94-106.
[24] Andrade CA. Cambios recientes del nivel del mar en Colombia, en: Deltas de Colombia: morfodinámica y vulnerabilidad ante el cambio global, J.D. Restrepo (editor), ISBN 978-958-720-020-1, Fondo Editorial Universidad EAFIT, COLCIENCIAS 2008:101-12.
[25] Ackermann F. Airborne laser scanning present status and future expectations. Journal of Photogrammetry & Remote Sensing. 1999; (54):64-67.
[26] Smith D, Wall W, Chen Z, Barnes R, Simons B, Keckler D. Surface mapping system, version 6.04, Golden Software Inc., Golden, Colorado, 1997.
[27] Ardhuin F, Magne R, Rascle N, Queffeulou P, Hamon M. Modélisation des vagues avec le code WAVEWATCH III: version 3.13-SHOM et Prévimer, aspects multi-échelles et multi-disciplinaires. Journée PCIM, 28 janvier 2008:14.
[28] Ullmann A, Pirazzoli P. Caractéristiques spatiales de la formation des surcotes marines dans le Golfe du Lion. Cybergeo: Revue européenne de géographie, 2007;362:12.
[29] Agudelo P, Restrepo AF, Molares R, Tejada CE, Torres R, Osorio AF. Determinación del clima de oleaje medio y extremal en el caribe colombiano, Boletín Científico CIOH 2006; (23): 33-45.85
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2008-12-21
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How to Cite
Sea-level variability from 1950 to 2000 and hazards linked to storm surge episodes in Bocagrande and Castillogrande peninsulas, Cartagena de Indias, Colombia. (2008). CIOH Scientific Bulletin, 26, 72-85. https://doi.org/10.26640/22159045.186
